Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.700648 0.801497 0.910832 1.038052 1.181899 1.339383 1.524746
2025-02-02 0.569981 0.712095 0.879072 1.089231 1.346144 1.649438 2.034072
2025-02-09 0.455163 0.617156 0.822167 1.099427 1.463243 1.922858 2.545848
2025-02-16 0.365991 0.535774 0.766036 1.098833 1.564796 2.190845 3.091943
2025-02-23 0.299569 0.471125 0.719256 1.100575 1.667180 2.472309 3.695793
2025-03-02 0.247875 0.416965 0.676688 1.099212 1.762403 2.754340 4.337999
2025-03-09 0.211915 0.379537 0.651765 1.118496 1.888745 3.095790 5.110921
2025-03-16 0.178009 0.338562 0.613561 1.109118 1.966545 3.370245 5.813443
2025-03-23 0.156527 0.314753 0.599401 1.136328 2.106288 3.758458 6.744475
2025-03-30 0.133375 0.283236 0.566059 1.123738 2.174030 4.032502 7.514565
2025-04-06 0.117991 0.263670 0.551126 1.141705 2.297462 4.415246 8.515875
2025-04-13 0.100203 0.235660 0.515108 1.113154 2.328794 4.634255 9.244712
2025-04-20 0.091476 0.225644 0.514124 1.155278 2.504911 5.146537 10.587457
2025-04-27 0.084916 0.219247 0.519696 1.211848 2.717799 5.754273 12.184100
2025-05-04 0.075682 0.204738 0.505220 1.223101 2.838043 6.193061 13.497481
2025-05-11 0.066925 0.189596 0.486736 1.222431 2.932292 6.589317 14.768664
2025-05-18 0.059529 0.176390 0.470529 1.224347 3.032151 7.007944 16.132166
2025-05-25 0.052940 0.163940 0.454017 1.222835 3.123619 7.418146 17.521678
2025-06-01 0.048281 0.155885 0.447222 1.244152 3.271399 7.968308 19.276759
2025-06-08 0.042812 0.144277 0.429123 1.233781 3.340776 8.348289 20.688977
2025-06-15 0.039592 0.138777 0.426598 1.263862 3.514610 8.988448 22.765426
2025-06-22 0.035162 0.128473 0.408851 1.249942 3.573929 9.363201 24.256468
2025-06-29 0.032341 0.122802 0.403513 1.269805 3.724521 9.975273 26.380238